Republicans and Midterms

People are beginning to talk about the 2018 midterm elections and I've heard a few people repeat the myth that Republicans reliably do well in midterms, or at least better than they do in general election years. This is only true if the president is a democrat. When the president is a republican, the GOP … Continue reading Republicans and Midterms

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Racial Demographics and State Voting in US Presidential Elections: 2004-2016

A lot of people are worried about the impact that changing racial demographics will have on US elections. These fears are largely based on the fact that Hispanics tend to overwhelmingly vote democrat, and the US Hispanic population is accounting for a larger proportion of the general population every decade. Consider this data from NYT exit … Continue reading Racial Demographics and State Voting in US Presidential Elections: 2004-2016